Basics of Investing
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What is Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental
Analysis is a very old and successful approach for investing in any shares. It
is a method of calculating intrinsic value of security. It can be defined as an
analysis of a business’s financial statements considering macroeconomic factors
such as GDP growth rates,
inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, productivity, and energy prices etc.
along with microeconomic factors such as total sales, price levels, the effects
of competing products, foreign competition etc.
For all
those investors who want to invest for long term, Fundamental analysis of the
stock is must, because over the long term, the stock prices of a fundamentally
strong company tend to appreciate, thereby creating wealth for its investors.
There are
many companies which have delivered on an average over 20% compounded annual
growth return (CAGR) year on year for over 10 years with good financials.
How to do
Financial Analysis?
There are
some basic steps of financial analysis are as follows:
1.
Annual report of
the company – Go through the complete annual report of the company, and
important ratios such as P/E ratio, debt to equity ratio, further dividend
declared by the company, cash flows of the company etc.
2.
Macroeconomic
factors such as GDP growth
rates, inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, productivity, and energy
prices etc. which can be accessed through news or through different websites.
Yes with
these two simple tools you can do a very effective fundamental study but these
two are not as simple as it seems.
So this was
a small introduction to fundamental analysis tool, further we will be
discussing in details each tools.
Annual Report study - First Step of Fundamental analysis
Annual Report study - First Step of Fundamental analysis
Financial
analysis of any stock starts with the study of its annual report, yes annual
report and hence it is very important to understand it and go through it.
What
is Annual report?
This
report highlights the annual performance of the company. An
annual report serves to present the company in best light possible and since it
is governed by regulatory acts so its misrepresentation can lead to judicial
actions against the company and hence there are less chances of its
misrepresentations. It is a yearly publication by the company and is sent to
the shareholders and other interested parties. It is usually published within
45 days from the end of the financial year.
Listed
companies come out with their reports highlighting annual performance to its
shareholders. These reports are primary source of information for an investor
to understand the company, sector, management views and analyse the financials.
Where
it is found?
Now
days there are many websites which publish the annual report of various
companies but the best source is to get it from company’s official websites in
the Investor’s section.
What
to look into an annual report?
It’s
a very long list and it is completely one’s own way of interpreting and
studying the annual report, something’s are important for some analyst while
some looks in it in another way, also what to study an annual report of a
company depends on the kind of industry company belongs, but still we have sort
down some important areas which are essential to look into.
a)
Vision
and mission of the company
This information is usually
contained in the starting page which gives us the overall object of the
company.
b)
Financial
Highlights
Financial highlights are
usually the comparative figures giving comparatives of some important data of
different periods. Special focus should be given to the growth made by the
company over the year and comparison should be made with its industry growth.
c)
Management
statement and Management Discussion & Analysis
Usually this gives the future
prospect of the company and the reasons of company downfall and it future
course of action. Tone of the Management in the speech is very important
whether the reasons given are strong enough or future prospect is practical
under given circumstances. In analysis they discuss the overall economic
activity of the country and the business sentiment across the corporate world.
If the company has high exposure to exports, they even talk about global
economic and business sentiment.
d)
Auditor’s
Report
Auditor’s Report gives the
opinion of the auditor on the financial statement prepared by the company. One
must go through the Auditor’s report completely and see that weather is there
any observation made by the auditor which can impact the company. Auditor’s
usually writes their opinion in such a way that it doesn’t comes into notice
specially the negative comments are written in generalised way, so one needs to
be more diligent while reading this report.
e)
Financial
Statements
Usually financial statements
consist of information on profit and loss accounts (income statement), balance
sheet as on year end, cash flow statement and schedules of the financials for
two years. Analysing numbers from this section help us to check financial
health of the company.
f)
Notes
on accounts
This section is usually left
out by most of the investors but it contains very important information. This
section should be analysed in depth to read the hidden information.
Apart
from above points some more points can be checked like Corporate Information, Director’s
Report, and Report on Corporate governance, etc.
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